SSR MINING INC. (SSRM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Strong beat on revenue and adjusted EPS; revenue rose to $405.46M vs S&P Global consensus $351.74M, and adjusted diluted EPS was $0.51 vs $0.23 consensus; GAAP diluted EPS was $0.42 (consensus values marked with asterisks; Values retrieved from S&P Global). Free cash flow was $98.4M, and operating cash flow was $157.8M, underpinned by the first full quarter of CC&V and solid Puna performance .
- Guidance effectively maintained: company reiterated full-year 2025 consolidated production of 410–480k GEOs and AISC of $2,090–$2,150/oz; Seabee is now targeted to the low end of its 70–80k oz range due to Q2 power-related downtime .
- CC&V integration tracking ahead on cash generation (≈$85M mine-site FCF since close), with Q2 output of 44,062 oz at AISC $1,339/oz; a technical report based on existing reserves remains on track for 2025 .
- Çöpler restart remains the key swing factor; reclamation/remediation estimate revised up $12.9M to $312.9M with continued engineering progress, but management still cannot provide a restart timeline; permitted restart throughput would revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- CC&V outperformed with 44,062 oz at AISC $1,339/oz and nearly $85M FCF since acquisition; management emphasized a “really good quarter” with significant FCF and strong Americas platform execution .
Quote: “We had consolidated free cash flow generation of nearly $100,000,000… We had a strong first full quarter from Cripple Creek and Victor…” . - Puna delivered another excellent quarter (2.85Moz silver, AISC $12.57/oz) and a mine-life extension plan; 2026 silver production now expected at 7–8Moz, with 2027–2028 averaging ~4Moz .
- Liquidity strengthened to $912.1M (cash $412.1M; undrawn revolver/accordion $500M), aided by $44.4M in business interruption insurance proceeds .
- CC&V outperformed with 44,062 oz at AISC $1,339/oz and nearly $85M FCF since acquisition; management emphasized a “really good quarter” with significant FCF and strong Americas platform execution .
- What Went Wrong
- Seabee production impacted by ~two-week power interruption due to nearby forest fires; Q2 output fell to 10,998 oz and AISC rose to $2,708/oz; full-year now guided to low end of 70–80k oz .
- Çöpler: while engineering advances continue, remediation/reclamation estimate increased by $12.9M to $312.9M; no ability to estimate restart timing, keeping uncertainty elevated .
- EBITDA was below S&P Global consensus despite revenue/EPS beats, reflecting operational mix (Seabee downtime, higher royalties at Marigold with strong gold prices) and care & maintenance headwinds at Çöpler discussed across disclosures (EBITDA comparison values marked with asterisks; Values retrieved from S&P Global).
Financial Results
Quarterly trend (oldest → newest)
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.
Q2 2025 actual vs S&P Global consensus
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global.
Segment breakdown (production and costs)
Key KPIs
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- Strategic focus and FCF: “It is pleasing to report a really good quarter… We had consolidated free cash flow generation of nearly 100,000,000 reiterating the strength of our Americas platform.”
- CC&V outlook: “A strong first full quarter from Cripple Creek and Victor… delivered excellent free cash flow… [Technical] report… expected this year.”
- Çöpler status: “We continue to work… to advance the restart… [but] we are not able to estimate or predict when and under what conditions operations will resume” . In Q&A, Antal declined to provide a timetable and confirmed restart would revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA .
- Seabee disruption: Operations were suspended due to power interruptions from nearby fires and restarted June 13; no site damage; donations made to support affected communities .
Q&A Highlights
- CC&V performance and guidance: Management said Q2 outperformance was driven by higher residual solution grades from prior stacking; they remain “comfortable with the guidance” and expect normalization in H2 as stacking proceeds .
- CC&V technical report and growth: The forthcoming report is a baseline on existing reserves; longer-term growth options exist but will take time; Amendment 14 approval is the near-term priority .
- Çöpler timeline and permitting: No restart timetable provided; upon restart, operations revert to 6,000 tpd under the 2014 EIA, with later work to refresh the EIA for higher throughput .
Estimates Context
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Beat/miss vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $405.46M vs $351.74M*; EPS (Primary/Adjusted Diluted) $0.51 vs $0.23*; EBITDA $100.39M* vs $113.63M* (revenue and EPS beats; EBITDA miss). Coverage: 7 EPS estimates, 3 revenue estimates.*
Note: Asterisked values retrieved from S&P Global. -
Implications: Revenue/EPS beats were powered by CC&V cash generation and Puna costs, partially offset by Seabee downtime and higher royalties at Marigold; the EBITDA shortfall reflects operational mix and expense profile in the quarter .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Clean beat on revenue and adjusted EPS with strong FCF ($98.4M), supported by CC&V contribution and Puna’s low AISC execution .
- FY25 guidance maintained at the group level; Seabee guided to the low end after Q2 power-related downtime, which should ease in H2 with operations normalized .
- CC&V is becoming a core free cash flow driver (≈$85M since close); technical report due in 2025 should frame medium-term profile and de-risk the story further .
- Çöpler remains the key uncertainty; engineering advances and cost refinement to $312.9M are positives, but timing remains unknown; upon restart, throughput reverts to 6,000 tpd (2014 EIA) pending future permitting .
- Puna life extension adds visibility: 2026 silver output expected 7–8Moz; 2027–2028 ~4Moz, supporting multi-year contribution at improving unit costs .
- Near-term trading lens: Positive reaction bias on beat/FCF and CC&V print; watch for updates on CC&V technical report, Seabee grade/throughput normalization, and any Çöpler permitting milestones .
- Estimate revisions: Upward adjustments likely for revenue/EPS on CC&V/Puna strength; EBITDA forecasts may need nuance given cost mix and Seabee’s AISC spike in Q2 (now normalized after restart) .
Notes: Asterisked values in tables are retrieved from S&P Global. All other figures are sourced from the company’s Q2 2025 press release, 8-K, earnings call transcript, and prior-quarter releases as cited.